Reading the register.
Reading the register.
Intelligence with context. Foresight that shapes decisions. The DIWAN register publishes commissioned studies, briefings, and market intelligence across sectors and jurisdictions.
Metro-grids, mining baseload and the Zambia corridor — three proven entries into the world's largest unserved power market
Only 22.5% of DR Congo's 112.8 million people have electricity, yet 2023–2026 produced three bankable templates: MIGA-wrapped urban metro-grids (Nuru), cheaper-than-diesel captive solar-plus-storage for mining (Kamoa-Kakula's $522m complex), and the $300m, 550 MW Kalumbila–Kolwezi import corridor. This feasibility study maps the demand, the capital stacks that actually close, the 2026 reform calendar, and where the next five flagship deals will come from.
Two signals from a 30-day read of Gulf energy flows: the crude rebound is riding on workarounds, and diesel is now the scarce barrel
Gulf crude exports have clawed back above pre-war levels through pipeline and shuttle workarounds, even as tanker attacks in and around the Strait of Hormuz escalate — while refined products, above all diesel, remain structurally constrained, with Middle East diesel exports to Europe at a six-year low and European diesel prices at all-time records. Both signals reward the same positioning: outside-Hormuz loading, verified counterparties, and secured logistics.
DIWAN First Reading
The country’s GDP rose to USD 27.1 bn in 2025, driven by a real growth rate of 19.3 % and fuel exports representing 75.9 % of merchandise exports. Internet penetration reached 83 % and unemployment hovered around 12 % in 2025. These dynamics suggest a high‑growth environment but one that remains dependent on oil‑related revenues and vulnerable to external price swings.
Economic, Social and Environmental Outlook
Paraguay's economy has grown steadily, with GDP reaching USD 49.3 billion in 2025 and real growth rates above 4 % in recent years. Inflation remains moderate, and the population is expanding at 1.2 % annually, supporting a growing labour market. Urbanisation is accelerating, with most residents living in cities by 2025. Energy access is near universal, and the country's legal framework encourages foreign investment, although judicial efficiency remains a concern.
A Comprehensive Analysis of Future Trends
Greenland's economic landscape is marked by high per capita income but limited growth prospects due to a stagnant population and reliance on external markets. With a GDP of USD 3.3 billion in 2023, the economy is expected to navigate modest growth rates. Key sectors include services, agriculture, and manufacturing, with implications for investment strategies and local engagement.
A Forward-Looking Analysis
Bolivia's GDP is projected to reach USD 64.8 billion in 2025, with a population of 12.6 million. The economy is transitioning towards a greater reliance on services, while export performance may fluctuate due to commodity price movements. Health expenditure and mobile subscriptions indicate a growing domestic market, although environmental concerns persist.
A Forward-Looking Analysis
Jamaica's economy is projected to face continued stagnation with real GDP growth remaining low and inflation pressures persisting. The population has stabilised at 2.8 million, indicating limited labour market expansion. Urbanisation is steady, with over half the population living in urban areas. Investment opportunities may arise in energy and agriculture, but risks from economic downturns and regulatory changes remain significant.
A Comprehensive Analysis of Future Trends
Croatia's economic landscape is projected to experience moderate growth, driven by a stable population and increasing urbanisation. With GDP expected to reach USD 105.1 billion by 2025 and real GDP growth stabilising at 3.4%, the country presents opportunities for investment, particularly in technology and renewable energy sectors. However, demographic trends and inflation may pose challenges.
Assessing Future Trends and Projections
Equatorial Guinea's economy is expected to experience a decline in GDP and real growth rates through 2025. The population is projected to grow steadily, while urbanisation continues to rise. However, the reliance on oil and gas exports poses risks to economic stability. The country must navigate these challenges to ensure sustainable development and attract foreign investment.
A First Reading of Macro-Financial Buffers and Market Entry Conditions
This study examines Israel’s economic position in 2026, anchored by a GDP of USD 610.8 billion in 2025 and a current account surplus. The analysis highlights a mature digital environment with high mobile and internet penetration, contrasted with a modest energy base. While foreign direct investment inflows have moderated, the country’s high-income classification and strong reserves offer significant buffers. The legal framework, a mix of civil and common law, requires careful navigation for commercial disputes. The assessment concludes that while macro-stability is evident, the narrow growth margin and persistent inflation call for rigorous risk containment in any investment strategy.
A Comprehensive Analysis of Future Trends and Projections
The Solomon Islands economy is on a recovery path, with real GDP growth expected to stabilise and urbanisation trends continuing. Key indicators such as inflation and life expectancy are also showing signs of improvement. However, the reliance on agriculture and imports presents ongoing challenges for sustainable growth.
A Comprehensive Analysis of Future Trends and Projections
The economic landscape of Brunei Darussalam is anticipated to show modest growth in the coming years, with real GDP growth projected at 0.7% in 2025. The population is set to increase to 466,330 by 2025, while inflation is expected to remain negative. The reliance on oil and gas exports continues to shape the economic environment, raising questions about long-term stability.
A Comprehensive Analysis of Future Trends and Projections
This study examines Tunisia's economic and social landscape leading into 2026, highlighting expected trends in GDP growth, inflation, and demographic changes. The analysis indicates a gradual recovery in economic performance, driven by a stabilising political environment and increasing urbanisation. Key sectors such as services and agriculture are set to play significant roles in shaping the future economy.
Forecasting Growth and Development Trends
Morocco's economy is projected to grow steadily, with GDP reaching USD 182.4 billion by 2025. The population is anticipated to grow modestly, reaching 38.4 million by 2025, while urbanisation continues to rise. With a focus on technology adoption and renewable energy, Morocco presents opportunities for investment, particularly in sectors reliant on digital infrastructure. However, challenges remain in managing inflation and unemployment rates.
An Analytical Overview of Libya's Growth Trajectory
Libya's economic outlook for 2026 suggests a continued recovery, with GDP projected to stabilise around USD 48.1 billion. The population is expected to reach 7.5 million, supporting domestic demand. Inflation rates are anticipated to remain low, fostering a conducive environment for investment. The reliance on oil exports will continue to shape the economic landscape, with potential fluctuations in global demand posing risks.
Public dossier — an independent feasibility read on a balanced, local-first, import-triggered food-security programme for Nigeria
Nigeria enters the 2026 lean season with 34.7 million people projected in crisis-level food insecurity while headline inflation falls and reserves sit at a 17-year high — a paradox of macro recovery above and household food stress below. This dossier sets out the independent feasibility architecture for a proposed Food Security, Market Resilience and Agricultural Development Programme: commodity-by-commodity gap analysis instead of blanket imports, a local-first procurement doctrine with published import triggers, a redesigned strategic-reserve layer, a self-liquidating revolving trade-finance structure, and a gated pilot-first path. Every originating figure is treated as a hypothesis under test, not a fact.
Six-system benchmark, four mandate engines, a 2030 bed-gap model and a capital playbook for the most oversubscribed sector in the Gulf
Every GCC state has now switched on, or is arming, a mandatory health-insurance engine — Abu Dhabi (2006), Dubai (2014), the Northern Emirates (2025), Kuwait (2025), Oman (phasing), Saudi Arabia (13.2m private lives and doubling premiums to 2030) — while the region operates 1.3–2.3 hospital beds per 1,000 people against Germany's 7.8 and the OECD's 4.3. This study benchmarks the four buyer markets against Germany and Singapore, sizes the provider gap to 2030 (Saudi estimates alone range 8,500–27,000 beds), maps the private-capital wave (PureHealth's $3.5bn of European acquisitions, the $1bn Aster GCC buyout, three Saudi IPOs 64–119× oversubscribed), prices greenfield-versus-acquisition entry, and stress-tests the one risk the gold-rush narrative underweights: reimbursement.
UAE, Saudi Arabia, Oman, Bahrain and Qatar measured against the Malaysia standard — what is genuinely scaling, what is statistical noise, and where the investable core sits
2025 delivered record non-oil export headlines across the Gulf — but decomposition shows the UAE's +45.5% is gold-inflated and Saudi Arabia's +18.9% masks a −0.1% fall in domestic-origin shipments. Benchmarked against Malaysia (86.4% manufactured exports; ECI #27 vs UAE #35, Saudi #60, Qatar #83), the genuine convergence is concentrated in petrochemical derivatives and aluminium, both stress-tested by the 2026 Hormuz closure. The study ranks the four scaling sectors and closes with a ranked investable shortlist: downstream polymer conversion, aluminium recycling/rolled products, outside-strait logistics, and selective agri-food platforms.
Benchmarking the UAE, Saudi and Qatar residency products against a closing West — and sizing the property, schooling, insurance and advisory economy they feed
Between October 2023 and February 2026 the investment-migration market inverted: Europe withdrew supply while the Gulf productized it. This study benchmarks five class-matched residency products, quantifies the residency-linked economy anchored by Dubai's AED 917bn property year, and maps the 12–24 month regulatory outlook and advisory funnel.
Where sovereign capital is pulling private money — UAE, Saudi Arabia and Qatar benchmarked against the Netherlands and Israel, and the four-segment stack priced
Gulf food-security capital has moved upstream: over US$7 billion of verified sovereign and state-linked deals since 2020 now target the grain trade itself, while domestic production consolidates around what survives the desert P&L. This study benchmarks the UAE, Saudi Arabia and Qatar against their two explicit reference systems — the Netherlands and Israel — then prices the four-segment investable stack: greenhouse-first controlled-environment agriculture, sovereign-anchored aquaculture, cash-yielding cold chain, and alternative proteins as a regulatory call option under Abu Dhabi's 2025 halal-integrated novel-food framework. It closes with the four co-investment structures that repeat across every disclosed transaction, and a candid risk register.
Electronic bills of lading, the MLETR statute race and whether Dubai can take documentation share from Geneva, Singapore and London
Gulf economies already route $1.6tn of merchandise trade, yet the documents that carry title, credit and jurisdiction still clear through incumbent hubs and English law. This study benchmarks Dubai against Geneva, Singapore and London on legal enablement, firm concentration and registry depth. It finds the window to capture documentation share open until roughly 2030 — contingent on one missing federal statute rather than on technology.
The UAE's federal rulebook has shifted from writing rules to enforcing them. This edition of the AE-FED regulatory watch covers four fronts that moved since our last issue: the wholesale AML rebuild under Federal Decree-Law No. 10 of 2025 (AED 100m fines, personal senior-management liability, a lower evidence bar, FATF evaluation year); the Advertiser Permit and SCA finfluencer regimes crossing in
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